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A Reuters poll of 17 analysts expects wheat exports from Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan to hold steady at 60.2 million tonnes in 2020/21. The three countries' combined 2020 wheat crop is forecast to rise 0.8% to 115.2 million tonnes, while EU output is expected to fall after dry spring weather.
Steady Black Sea supplies combined with a smaller EU crop keep competition for Africa and Middle East buyers manageable, so the price pressure is limited. A possible Russian export quota is the main risk to that outlook.
在过去 406 次中性的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。