The International Grains Council's July report projects record world wheat carryover stocks of 288 million tonnes at end-2020/21, despite slightly reduced wheat production forecasts for the EU, Russia and the US. The IGC cut its total world grains production forecast to 2225Mt, down 13Mt from June, mainly on a smaller US corn crop.
Record wheat stocks are bearish for wheat prices and cap rallies, while the smaller US corn crop tightens coarse grain supply and supports feed grain prices. Global stocks-to-use for all grains falls to a six-year low.
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。