
The July WASDE showed few surprises for soybeans but erased recent price gains in corn and wheat. New-crop corn stocks tightened on a smaller crop, while old-crop stocks rose on lower ethanol demand.
USDA raised its season-average corn price estimate by 15 cents to $3.35 per bushel.
Weaker ethanol demand and high global stocks cap the upside for corn and wheat, which lowers feed grain costs. Traders had already priced in most of the acreage-driven cut.
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 1,102 次看跌的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
The July WASDE (released July 10, after the July 9 close) is dated after the move, so it cannot have caused it, but it signals the bearish positioning and rally unwinding that were likely under way beforehand.