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ABARES forecasts Australian winter crop production in 2020–21 at 44.5 million tonnes, up 53% and 11% above the 10-year average. Wheat area is forecast to rise 27% to almost 13 million hectares, and barley area up 8% to about 4.4 million hectares.
A sharp rise in Australian winter grain output increases export supply of wheat and barley and is bearish for world feed grain prices.
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
ABARES forecasts a 53% jump in winter crop output and a 27% rise in wheat area, which supports the bearish supply picture.