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An Agriculture.com article cites a Weathertrends360 forecast that dry conditions will expand to about 50% of the US in 2020 and become drier in 2021 after seven wet years. It links the shift to a moderate La Niña forming in the Pacific and says 35% of the US was already in dry conditions by late May.
A forecast drier US growing season would raise weather risk premiums for corn and soybeans, though the source is a private long-range model rather than an official outlook.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。