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Rabobank analysts forecast that global exportable dairy surpluses will keep expanding into 2018, with milk supply growing 2.2% year over year in the third quarter of 2017. They projected US Class III milk falling about $3 to $13.99 per cwt in the first quarter, with Class IV at $12.34.
A growing exportable surplus weighs on world dairy prices and pressures farm margins, reducing the cost of dairy-based feed ingredients. Weaker milk prices are expected to persist through the second quarter of 2018.
capitalpress.comCarol Ryan Dumas2018年1月3日在过去 273 次看跌的报告事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +0.4%），20 个交易日内为 -1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Rabobank's forecast of expanding global dairy surpluses and Class III falling about $3 to $13.99 in Q1 is a bearish supply and sentiment driver that could prompt futures selling.
Rabobank's forecast of expanding global surpluses and Class III falling about $3 sets a bearish supply-driven tone.
