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Farm Futures analyst Bryce Knorr said corn prices are near contract lows because of ample supply and strong USDA crop ratings. A hot start to July raised doubts about USDA's yield estimate of 178.5 bushels per acre.
Weather models point to around 173.4 bpa, which is below the 174.5 trend and well under USDA's figure. November soybeans have traded above $9.
A yield estimate below USDA's figure would tighten the corn balance sheet and could support prices. Current prices still reflect the expectation of a large crop.
farmprogress.comBryce Knorr2020年7月21日在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
