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Manulife strategist Philip Petursson forecasts the loonie reaching US$0.77, with upside to US$0.79 over six to twelve months. He expects oil prices to rise and the US dollar index, which has fallen as much as 10% since March, to keep weakening.
The forecast points to a weaker US dollar and higher oil prices, which together support dollar-denominated commodity prices and raise energy-linked input costs for feed. It is an analyst view rather than a new supply or demand event.
在过去 487 次看涨的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.0%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +4.0%),20 个交易日内为 +1.5%。
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。