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US natural gas futures reached a nine-month high as producers shut Gulf offshore wells ahead of Hurricane Laura, pushing output to its lowest since 2018. LNG exports fell to an 18-month low as vessels avoided the storm.
Front-month prices were up about 41% in August, helped by sharp gains in European and Asian benchmarks.
Storm-related output losses tighten US supply and lift gas prices, which raises the cost of nitrogen fertilizer. The rally is driven by a temporary weather shock, so price risk depends on how quickly Gulf production returns.
在过去 221 次看涨的天气事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +3.3%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.2% 至 +14.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。