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CME live and feeder cattle futures fell to life-of-contract lows on March 9, 2020, with feeder cattle limit down, after crude oil's biggest daily rout since 1991 as Saudi Arabia and Russia began a price war. The Dow fell over 2,000 points on recession fears tied to coronavirus.
Oil-driven equity selloff and fears of reduced consumer demand for beef push cattle values lower, weakening feedlot demand for feed.
agcanada.comAGCanada2020年3月9日在过去 14 次地缘政治事件之后，活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.5%（21% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 -0.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 10 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后，架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（60% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.8%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%（31% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%（36% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
On March 9, 2020 CME live and feeder cattle fell to life-of-contract lows as the crude oil rout and a 2,000-point Dow drop on coronavirus recession fears drove a risk-off sentiment selloff in cattle futures.
On March 9 feeder futures went limit down as the oil price war and equity rout fueled recession fears, a sentiment shock inside the 5-day window.
March 9 crude oil collapse and equity rout pushed live and feeder cattle to contract lows with limit-down moves, a sentiment-driven selloff within the window.
Earlier March 9 selloff tied to the oil rout and equity crash shows the macro risk-off channel that pressured feeder futures and likely carried into March 12.
