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Illinois Extension economist Todd Hubbs says USDA's 2020/21 corn use projections of 14.775 billion bushels look high, requiring strong feed use and low prices. Ethanol production is running about 10% below normal, and exports above two billion bushels will need low prices to compete with South America.
If demand must be supported by low prices, corn rallies may be capped, keeping feed corn costs contained for buyers. Weak ethanol demand and South American competition limit upside.
在过去 301 次看跌的宏观事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。