FAPRI and University of Missouri baseline projections show 2021 net farm income falling to $112 billion from $121 billion in 2020, as lower government payments and higher costs outweigh higher sales. The analysis notes that Chinese import growth has driven recent strength in grain and oilseed markets.
It also says U.S. exports and prices could exceed projections if China's buying continues.
Sustained Chinese purchases are the main upside risk to U.S. corn and soybean exports and prices, although the baseline uses January data and does not reflect later policy changes.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。