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Rabobank analyst Cheryl Kalisch Gordon says Australian barley prices are unlikely to get much better than current levels, with on-farm storage capacity expanded since 2016. She cites a barley discount of up to $90/t to wheat that will persist while China stays out of the market, and expects production a couple of million tonnes above last year.
Larger expected Australian barley output combined with the absent China market points to continued pressure on barley prices, though global benchmark support from the Black Sea and US dryness limits downside.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 406 次中性的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。