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The US opened an investigation into phosphate imports from Russia and Morocco after Mosaic alleged unfair subsidies, and duties could be retroactive to June 26. Gulf DAP rose $40 to $314 per ton, and US retailers raised prices above $435.
Morocco and Russia supply about 85% of US DAP and MAP imports.
Possible countervailing duties would cut import supply into the US and keep DAP prices elevated ahead of the fall application season. Higher phosphate costs feed through to the cost of mineral and feed supplements.
farmprogress.comBryce Knorr2020年7月28日在过去 193 次看涨的贸易事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Reports Gulf DAP up $40 to $314/t and US retail prices above $435 as the phosphate import investigation (possibly retroactive duties) tightens expected US supply from Morocco and Russia, directly matching the DAP price jump.
The US anti-subsidy probe into Russian and Moroccan phosphate imports threatens retroactive duties on about 85% of US DAP/MAP imports, tightening expected supply and pushing Gulf DAP and US retail prices sharply higher, which directly explains the DAP jump.
