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US natural gas futures tumbled on Nov. 19 after forecasts shifted warmer through early December, reversing a short-lived gain.
Government data showed an unusually large storage injection for the time of year. The March-April spread narrowed to a record low, reflecting skepticism about tight winter supply.
Warmer forecasts and a large storage build reduce expected winter heating demand and weaken the bullish case for gas. Lower gas prices can reduce input costs for fertilizer and ethanol but also weaken the case for higher gas-linked energy prices.
在过去 104 次看跌的天气事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -7.8%(22% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -14.8% 至 -0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -3.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。