
Freeze damage over the late-November weekend is expected to cut corn and soybean yields, with analysts estimating corn losses of 300 million to 400 million bushels and possibly up to 700 million. Soybean losses are estimated at 30 million to 50 million bushels, which are smaller because the crop matured early.
Official yield reports are not expected until January.
A corn loss of several hundred million bushels would tighten the US balance sheet and support corn prices, with soybeans less affected. Uncertainty until the January report keeps the market sensitive to revisions.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。