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ING's cheat sheet ahead of the ECB's final 2020 meeting says the bank will likely take further action, including a €500 billion expansion of PEPP bond purchases. It does not expect a benchmark rate cut.
EUR/USD is trading above 1.2000, and ING sees limited scope for the easing to push the euro lower.
Limited expected currency impact means little change in euro-dollar pricing for commodities. Any surprise in the ECB's forward guidance could move the euro and dollar-priced grain and oilseed values.
在过去 129 次中性的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。