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S&P Global Platts forecasts US soybean prices averaging $10/bu for 2020-21, up 17%, while USDA's WASDE is more bullish at $10.55/bu. Cumulative export sales reached 53.8 million mt by Dec.
10, versus 18.8 million a year earlier, and ending stocks are at a 7-year low.
Record forward sales to China and tight ending stocks leave little cushion, supporting higher soybean and soymeal prices into 2021 unless China's purchases fall short.
在过去 696 次看涨的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。