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COCERAL's first 2021 forecast puts the EU-27+UK total grain crop at 307.4 million tonnes, up from 295.7 million in 2020. Wheat (excluding durum) is projected to rise from 127.9 to 143 million tonnes, led by France, Germany, the UK and the Balkans.
Barley is seen slipping to 61.5 million tonnes, and the rapeseed crop is forecast to recover slightly to 17.8 million.
A larger EU wheat crop adds exportable supply and weighs on world wheat prices. Lower barley output tightens that feed grain's supply and supports its price.
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。