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Oil World expects global palm oil output to fall by about 1 million tonnes in the 2019/2020 season, creating a second successive annual deficit. The analyst firm says current price falls reflect sentiment rather than fundamentals, and that China's rising edible oil imports and Indonesia's biofuel programme support demand.
Falling output and unusually small year-end stocks tighten supply, supporting higher palm oil prices. The forecast of an average around $800 per tonne for January-June implies a firmer price trend.
在过去 149 次看涨的报告事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
