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The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to three-year highs and moved above the Chinese 10-year yield for the first time since 2010. The move reflected diverging monetary policy, with the Fed tightening while the PBOC eases.
A narrowing yield gap can drive capital outflows from China and pressure the yuan, while higher US yields support the dollar. Both shift currency-driven import costs for Chinese feed buyers.
cnbc.comEvelyn Cheng2022年4月21日在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后，美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（60% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后，人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（56% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
U.S. 10-year yield rising above China's for the first time since 2010 signaled policy divergence and capital outflow pressure on the yuan.
US-China yield inversion (US 10-year above China's) reduced the yuan's carry appeal and underpinned the depreciation pressure going into the move.
