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Premia Partners argues that US inflation expectations are rising and depressing the dollar, while the 10-year Treasury yield has also climbed rapidly. The firm says the Fed's zero-rate policy and generous unemployment benefits are fuelling strong equity markets.
It warns that higher yields could threaten the equity rally.
Rising inflation expectations tend to support real-asset and commodity prices, but a weaker dollar and higher yields can offset this, leaving feed price direction mixed.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。