
U.S. Wheat Associates reported that USDA forecasts 2020/21 U.S. wheat export sales of 26.8 MMT, 2% above 2019/20 and 7% above the five-year average. Commercial sales through December 24 were 9% ahead of last year at 20.6 MMT, led by hard red winter, with strong sales to Nigeria and China and weaker sales to Mexico.
Strong export commitments draw down U.S. supplies and support wheat prices, while weaker Mexican HRW demand is a bearish offset for HRW. Feed buyers should watch wheat's relative value against corn.
在过去 102 次看涨的贸易事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +3.5%),20 个交易日内为 -1.4%。
在过去 431 次看涨的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。