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ABARES forecasts Australian farmgate production will rise 7% to $65 billion in 2020/21, supported by the second-largest winter crop and a promising rainfall outlook. It also expects exports to fall 7% to $44.7 billion, as residual drought effects and trade uncertainty weigh on values.
A near record Australian winter crop adds to global wheat supply, which is mildly bearish for prices, while lower export values point to softer demand pressure.
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。