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Russia plans to double its wheat export tax to €50/t between 1 March and 30 June, and there is talk of further volume curbs into the new marketing season. Consultancy IKAR cut its 2020/21 Russian wheat export forecast to 37.5 million tonnes because of the tax.
European wheat prices paused after reaching a 7.5-year high.
A higher Russian export tax and possible volume curbs reduce supply from a major exporter, which supports global wheat prices and raises the cost of imported feed grains. Export pricing is uncertain until the policy is clarified.
在过去 182 次看涨的政策事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。