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ABN AMRO raised its US growth outlook after stronger Chinese growth and expected large fiscal stimulus. It also expects slightly higher US rates, a Fed taper starting in 2022, and a bottoming dollar, all of which it says are headwinds for commodities.
A firmer dollar and tighter policy later would weigh on dollar-priced grains and meals, partly offset by stronger cyclical demand.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。