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Strong La Niña conditions are expected to keep the US and South America warm and dry through the 2021 growing season. Brazil and Argentina already had very dry spring planting conditions, with Paraná experiencing its driest season in 17 years.
A persistent dry pattern over the main South American and US growing regions raises the risk of yield losses in corn and soybeans, which would support prices and tighten feed supplies.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。