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ABARES estimated Australia's 2020-21 wheat crop at 33.337 million tonnes, up 120% from the drought-reduced 2019-20 crop and 5% above the previous record. The USDA's prior forecast for Australian wheat was 30 million tonnes, so the March WASDE is expected to raise it.
The gap between the ABARES figure and the USDA estimate suggests upward revision to world wheat supply, which is bearish for wheat prices. Australian exporters are positioned to fill demand from China and other buyers.
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。