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Severe cold across Europe last week was unlikely to cause significant damage to wheat, according to analysts and traders, because crops were insulated by snow and had built winter hardiness. Rapeseed sown during late-summer drought and some early-drilled spring barley were judged more at risk.
French winter soft wheat area was raised to 4.86 million hectares, up 15% year on year.
Limited frost losses support expectations of a larger EU harvest, which keeps wheat supply ample and caps prices, while rapeseed risk could slightly firm canola meal and oilseed prices.
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。