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Julio Bravo of AgroBravo said Brazil's earliest soybean plantings, made in dry conditions, are producing lower yields. Later-planted fields, about 90% of farms, are expected to return to normal yields as rains became more frequent.
Farmers planted 3.4% more soybean acres, so the net production effect is likely neutral.
Expected offsetting yields and higher acreage suggest little net change to Brazilian soybean supply, limiting price impact on soybeans and meal.
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 55 次中性的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。