
Fertilizer plants in the US shut down in late February because of a natural gas shortage caused by the historic cold snap. Ammonia and urea production depends on natural gas, and the shutdowns left some farmers unable to obtain fertilizer during a short spring application window.
Farmers in the southern Plains were already behind schedule.
Lost nitrogen output tightens supply just as spring application peaks, supporting urea prices and raising feed grain input costs. Natural gas price strength adds to the cost pressure on nitrogen producers.
在过去 30 次看涨的天气事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.4%(67% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +9.1%。
在过去 221 次看涨的天气事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +3.3%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.2% 至 +14.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。