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China's soybean demand is expected to stay weak until May, according to market sources, as almost all crushing plants run below capacity amid negative or weak crush margins. Crushers have cut purchases as soymeal demand for animal feed fell after Lunar New Year.
China accounts for over 60% of oilseed purchases from the US and Brazil.
A prolonged drop in Chinese crush and purchases removes a major source of import demand, which is bearish for US and Brazilian soybeans and soymeal.
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。