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The USDA's first official 2021/22 Prospective Plantings report put US corn plantings at 91.1 million acres and soybeans at 87.6 million, both well below trade expectations. The same report cut soybean ending stocks by 31%, and the quarterly stocks update also came out.
Lower-than-expected acreage and a sharply smaller soybean stocks outlook tighten the new-crop balance sheet, which pushed corn and soybean futures sharply higher and raises feed grain and soymeal costs for buyers.
fastmarkets.comTimothy Worledge2021年3月31日在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（62% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%），20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 414 次看涨的报告事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（48% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
The USDA Prospective Plantings report showed soybean acres well below expectations and cut ending stocks sharply, which is a bullish supply shock that sent soybean complex futures limit-up. The report was released March 31 but the 4.94% move ends March 30, so the timing is slightly ambiguous.
USDA Prospective Plantings showed soybean acreage (87.6M) well below expectations and cut soybean stocks 31%, triggering limit-up futures and the large 5.12% move.
