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Wood Mackenzie said OPEC+ is holding to its plan to increase supply gradually over May, June and July, with Saudi Arabia easing its extra 1 million b/d cut. The firm noted risks from weaker demand in India and possible Iran nuclear deal supply returns.
A confirmed gradual supply increase is bearish for crude prices, which affect fuel and transport costs for feed. Demand weakness in India and a possible Iran deal are the main swing factors.
在过去 215 次看跌的政策事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.4% 至 +3.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 210 次看跌的政策事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.8% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。