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The ECB Financial Stability Review for May 2021 examines the risk that a correction in US equity markets could spill over into euro area markets and financial conditions. It notes US equity prices are over 20% above pre-pandemic levels and cyclically adjusted P/E ratios are historically high, with a possible rise in US Treasury yields as a trigger.
A sharp US equity sell-off or rise in Treasury yields could strengthen the dollar and tighten financial conditions, which tends to pressure commodity prices. The analysis is a risk assessment rather than a new market shock.
ecb.europa.euHelmersson, Tobias, Grothe, Magdalena, Vassallo, Danilo, Quint, Dominic2021年5月19日在过去 359 次中性的宏观事件之后，美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.4%），20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
