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China's National Development and Reform Commission is moving to restrict phosphate fertiliser production and exports until mid-2022. Chinese producers are expected to stop exporting for more than six months.
Australia sourced 65% of its MAP from China last year, and US duties on Moroccan and Russian phosphates had already doubled prices over the past year.
Restricting Chinese exports removes a major share of global phosphate supply during Australia's planting season, which keeps phosphate prices high and raises food production costs.
abc.net.auLucinda Jose, Angus Verley2021年10月1日在过去 151 次看涨的政策事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.9%），20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Reports on 2021-10-01 that China's NDRC will restrict phosphate production and exports until mid-2022 point to a direct supply shock to the largest phosphate exporter, which fits the sharp one-day DAP rise.
