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Goldman Sachs says it sees no case for sustained dollar appreciation despite the hawkish June FOMC meeting. It expects one Fed rate hike by end-2023, compared with roughly three priced in by markets, and sees 1.5-3.0% near-term upside risk for the broad dollar.
A bank forecast of a weaker dollar than market pricing implies less downward pressure on dollar-denominated commodities over the medium term, though near-term dollar strength remains a risk.
在过去 359 次中性的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。