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Safras & Mercado cut its Brazilian safrinha corn forecast by 27% from January, to 2,425 million bushels, after drought in south-central Brazil and frosts on June 29 and 30. The average cash price in May reached a record in real terms, the highest since 2004.
Lower safrinha output and record Brazilian cash prices reduce the export supply available to global feed buyers and support corn prices.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。