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USDA reported that only 11% of the US spring wheat crop was rated good to excellent as of July 18, the lowest since 1988. The July WASDE put spring wheat ending stocks at 119 million bushels, or 24% of use, the lowest stocks-to-use ratio since 2007-08.
Very low spring wheat stocks-to-use leaves little cushion against supply shortfalls, which supports Minneapolis and KC wheat prices and widens their premium over normal relationships.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。