
US pork exporters face a slowdown in China's pork demand as Chinese live hog prices fell from nearly $2.50/lb at the start of 2021 to about $0.90/lb on June 22 before rebounding to $1.15/lb in early July. China has shifted from releasing pork reserves to buying pork for price stabilization.
Weaker Chinese pork demand reduces import needs and cuts US meat export opportunities, which weighs on hog prices and feed demand. Competition among exporters is expected to intensify.
在过去 123 次看跌的贸易事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 683 次看跌的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Published July 14, one day before the drop, it flags weaker Chinese pork demand and lower Chinese hog prices, which could weigh on US export-demand sentiment and hog futures.