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Patchy monsoon rains after a three-week stall are delaying sowing of rice, cotton and soybeans in India. Retail inflation is already above the central bank's 6% upper limit, and analysts warn that weak sowing could hurt yields.
Delayed and weak Indian sowing raises the risk of lower rice and soybean output and higher domestic prices, which can pull on export availability and global prices.
在过去 179 次看涨的天气事件之后,稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 +2.2%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。