
The IGC cut its 2021/22 world wheat forecast by 1 million tonnes to 788 million. Drought lowered its US crop estimate to 47.5 million tonnes from 51.1 million and its Canadian estimate to 28.5 million from 32.3 million.
EU production was raised to 137.7 million tonnes on better outlooks in France, Hungary and Romania.
Losses in North American spring wheat remove exportable supply and support global wheat prices. Higher EU output partly offsets the cut, so the net price effect is upward but limited.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。