Climate Impact Company forecasts a wetter-than-normal Brazil climate for late 2021, linked to a La Niña developing around the fourth quarter and unusually warm tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures. The firm notes Brazil has been in a long-term drought pattern and that a negative Indian Ocean Dipole is also forming.
A wetter Brazil season would favor planting and yields for the 2021-22 soybean and corn crops, which could ease supply concerns and weigh on prices. The forecast is a model-based outlook and may change.
在过去 363 次看跌的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 118 次看跌的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.8%(35% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.2% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -1.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。