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Rabobank's July Pork Quarterly says China's hog prices fell below imported pork prices from mid-February to mid-June 2021, due to African swine fever and herd liquidation. Rabobank expects a Q3 slaughter decline and a hog price rebound in the second half.
China's 2021 pork imports are forecast to fall 10% to 20%.
Lower Chinese pork import demand and a sharp drop in hog prices weigh on global pork markets, while a rebound in the second half would reduce pressure on hog margins and feed demand.
在过去 159 次看跌的报告事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。