
Western urea values rose sharply as European gas prices surged and Ukrainian producers faced possible shutdowns. Yara planned to cut ammonia output by 40%, and Egyptian granular urea sold at $520/t fob, while US Gulf barge values recovered after Hurricane Ida.
Gas-driven production cuts in Europe and Ukraine are removing major nitrogen supply, which keeps global urea prices elevated and raises fertilizer costs for grain growers.
在过去 92 次看涨的宏观事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +3.6%),20 个交易日内为 +4.8%。
在过去 155 次看涨的宏观事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +7.1%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
European gas-driven output cuts by Yara and Ukrainian shutdown risk tightened western urea supply and lifted values.