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Bloomberg reports that China's record corn purchases, a key part of the US trade deal, may be slowing as a bumper domestic harvest approaches. Imports in 2020-21 were about 23 million tonnes, and analysts doubt China will meet the USDA's 26 million tonne forecast for 2021-22.
A larger Chinese harvest and weaker import demand reduce expected US corn export sales, which is bearish for corn futures. Falling Chinese corn prices also make imports less attractive.
在过去 683 次看跌的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 250 次中性的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。