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Argentine investors are increasingly pessimistic on the peso and expect a faster devaluation after November elections. Dollars trade at 196 pesos on the parallel market, almost double the official rate, the largest gap in 12 months.
Futures contracts imply a rate of 152.5 pesos per dollar by September 2022.
Expected devaluation would lower Argentine export prices in dollar terms and could weigh on world soymeal prices. The growing parallel premium also shows that currency controls are straining the country's trade flows.
batimes.com.arJames Grainger2021年10月21日历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 117 次看跌的宏观事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%（41% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
