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A Farm Futures analyst reviewed the September Quarterly Grain Stocks report, which found 81 million more bushels of old-crop soybeans than expected. The report also showed corn and soybean usage rates, which were not fully captured in the headline numbers.
The analysis looks ahead to the October WASDE.
Higher-than-expected old-crop stocks suggest less tightness in corn and soybean supplies, which pressures prices for new-crop deliveries. The effect on farm margins depends on how usage trends develop.
在过去 788 次看跌的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
在过去 1,102 次看跌的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。