
AgWeb reports that China effectively banned phosphate exports through June 2022, according to StoneX's Josh Linville. Fertilizer prices are approaching 2008 highs after Hurricane Ida, European and Chinese production slowdowns, and other supply shocks.
Linville notes NOLA urea has not yet reached its 2008 peak of about $825 per tonne.
China supplies about one-third of world phosphate trade, so a ban through mid-2022 sharply tightens global DAP and related supply. This raises the cost of crop nutrients ahead of the 2022 planting season and could limit US corn acreage.
在过去 151 次看涨的政策事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
在过去 129 次看涨的政策事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。