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Fertilizer company shares rose on March 2 as investors bet that Middle East supply disruptions from the Iran conflict would lift nitrogen prices. Prices were already rising before the conflict after a large Indian urea order tightened supply, and the Strait of Hormuz closure threat added to speculation of further gains.
Expectations of tighter nitrogen supply raise the expected cost of fertilizer for crop producers, which over time feeds into higher grain and feed-ingredient costs.
marketwatch.comTomi Kilgore2026年3月2日在过去 205 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（53% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.0%），20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 323 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
March 2 article notes fertilizer equities rallied on nitrogen supply fears and prices were already rising from a large Indian urea order, indicating sentiment and demand contributors.
Prices were already rising on a large Indian urea order, and Hormuz closure risk added speculative momentum to the move.
